Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.782821 0.878883 0.983418 1.105832 1.245516 1.400242 1.585028
2025-02-09 0.635935 0.766526 0.920319 1.115699 1.358572 1.652182 2.036472
2025-02-16 0.552880 0.698094 0.878238 1.119899 1.438258 1.846991 2.417382
2025-02-23 0.499794 0.655441 0.856946 1.139748 1.530878 2.059317 2.838487
2025-03-02 0.442266 0.598317 0.807576 1.112493 1.551779 2.171472 3.129289
2025-03-09 0.411582 0.573006 0.796633 1.134105 1.639315 2.381804 3.582410
2025-03-16 0.376299 0.537071 0.766194 1.122736 1.674883 2.516452 3.933526
2025-03-23 0.352191 0.514544 0.752180 1.132896 1.741863 2.703123 4.386607
2025-03-30 0.324710 0.484300 0.723493 1.116794 1.764432 2.819621 4.734973
2025-04-06 0.302786 0.460492 0.702218 1.109634 1.799414 2.958042 5.135451
2025-04-13 0.274286 0.424099 0.658144 1.061031 1.759608 2.964289 5.297607
2025-04-20 0.262053 0.412560 0.652641 1.075622 1.828620 3.165648 5.844188
2025-04-27 0.251222 0.402768 0.649651 1.094997 1.909428 3.399598 6.491017
2025-05-04 0.239139 0.390001 0.640693 1.103112 1.970686 3.604328 7.109342
2025-05-11 0.227534 0.377096 0.630326 1.107421 2.024637 3.799953 7.734686
2025-05-18 0.219412 0.369534 0.628532 1.127007 2.109277 4.064501 8.544594
2025-05-25 0.204825 0.349576 0.603216 1.100093 2.099577 4.136309 8.935994
2025-06-01 0.198499 0.343897 0.603184 1.121435 2.188684 4.422815 9.860957
2025-06-08 0.188125 0.330147 0.587272 1.110208 2.209278 4.564650 10.463208
2025-06-15 0.181362 0.322576 0.582306 1.120242 2.275344 4.812977 11.363033
2025-06-22 0.171818 0.309183 0.565327 1.104341 2.283728 4.931965 11.953143
2025-06-29 0.164029 0.298633 0.553113 1.097269 2.310759 5.096702 12.687818
2025-07-06 0.152066 0.279364 0.522615 1.049270 2.241258 5.025755 12.777908